The US Stock Volatility & Its Implications

U.S. stocks fell sharply, wrapping up a roller-coaster week on Wall Street as heightened speculative trading by retail investors continued to unnerve the market. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 620.74 points, or 2%, to 29,982.62, the first time the 30-stock gauge has closed below the 30,000 marks since December 14, 2020. The S&P 500 fell 1.9% to 3,714.24 as 10 sectors registered losses. The Nasdaq Composite slid 2% to 13,070.69 as Apple dropped 3.7% and other major tech names slipped.

All three major averages dropped more than 3% this week, posting their worst week since October. For January, the blue-chip Dow and the S&P 500 fell 2% and 1.1%, respectively, suffering their first negative month in three. The tech-heavy Nasdaq eked out a 1.4% gain on the month.

Shares of GameStop jumped 67.9% after Robinhood said it would allow limited buying of the stock and other heavily shorted names after restricting access the day before. Robinhood raised more than $1 billion from its existing investors overnight, in addition to tapping bank credit lines, to ensure it had the capital required to allow some trading again in volatile stocks like GameStop. Investors are concerned that if GameStop continues to rise in such a volatile fashion, it may ripple through the financial markets, causing losses at brokers like Robinhood and forcing hedge funds who bet against the stock to sell other securities to raise cash.

(Credit: CNBC/FACTSET)

There are also fears that the GameStop mania is a sign of a larger bubble in the market and that its unraveling could cause turbulence and hit retail investors hard. A number of lawmakers also called for an investigation into the chaotic trading. The Securities and Exchange Commission said it will look into the regulated bodies ’ actions to uncover if the decisions made disadvantaged investors.

“There’s way too much leverage in the system, and we’re starting to see signs that this excess leverage is going to be unwound in a way that will create headwinds for the stock market and other risk assets for more than just a few days,” said Matt Maley, chief market strategist at Miller Tabak. Stocks had rallied to record highs on the hope that vaccines would be effective against Covid to allow a smooth economic reopening before the end of the year. New mutations more resilient to vaccines could upend that rosy outlook for investors.

(Credit: CNBC/FACTSET)

A wave of retail traders has been motivating each other on the red-hot WallStreetBets Reddit forum to pile into the most hated names by hedge funds, creating massive short squeezes in the stocks. GameStop has soared more than 1,600% in January, while AMC Entertainment has rallied over 500% this month.

Billionaire bond investor Bill Gross sounded alarms on this week’s intensifying speculative mania in his investment outlook. “This apparent budding crisis needs regulatory warnings and mainstream media alerts as to the dangers this week, both to overall markets and individual investors,” Gross wrote.

Still, some believe since the retail crowd is concentrating on just a handful of names, the influence on the overall market should be limited for the time being. “While we believe there is more pain to come, we remain optimistic that it is likely to remain localized,” said Maneesh Deshpande, head of equity derivatives strategy at Barclays. “ Market exposure of long-short hedge funds is relatively small, indicating little impact to the overall market due to deleveraging.


Sources

https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Markets/Wild-Wall-Street-Five-things-to-know-about-US-stock-volatility

https://www.ft.com/market-volatility

https://www.aa.com.tr/en/economy/us-stock-markets-plummet-amid-extreme-volatility/2125405

https://www.ctvnews.ca/business/north-american-stock-market-volatility-continues-with-strong-start-to-trading-week-1.5290243

https://www.cnbc.com/2021/01/28/stock-futures-decline-as-volatile-wall-street-week-continues.html

Images

https://image.cnbcfm.com/api/v1/image/106832274-1611954592854-20210129_gamestop_stock_timeline_close.png?v=1611954778&w=900&h=549

https://image.cnbcfm.com/api/v1/image/106832276-1611956739839-20210129_gme_volume_vs_sp500_close-01.png?v=1611958438&w=900&h=687

https://time.com/5793506/a-stock-market-crash-was-coming-coronavirus-was-just-the-spark/


Feature Image: JOHANNES EISELE/AFP/GETTY IMAGES

Althea Ocomen

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